Value bet: NK Varazdin to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceNK Varazdin or draw ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Friday 3 April: NK Varazdin v HNK Gorica in the HNL, played at Gradski stadion Varazdin. In the table, NK Varazdin are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; HNK Gorica are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
NK Varazdin, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Istra 1961, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
HNK Gorica, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over HNK Rijeka, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours HNK Gorica, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for NK Varazdin.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended NK Varazdin 1–3 HNK Gorica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Varazdin 1.6 xG, HNK Gorica 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Varazdin 47%, draw 27%, HNK Gorica 27%.
Lower-risk option: NK Varazdin or draw (73%) at 1.36.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: NK Varazdin to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was NK Varazdin or draw (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Gorica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Varazdin47%fair 2.14 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @2.90
HNK Gorica27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
2.56Expected goals
1.61NK Varazdin xG
0.95HNK Gorica xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 1.6 – 1.0 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
Our pick is NK Varazdin or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and HNK Gorica 27%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Varazdin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
