Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓78% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 7 April the HNL brings Istra 1961 against HNK Hajduk Split at Stadion Aldo Drosina. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Istra 1961 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 13 matches; HNK Hajduk Split are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
Istra 1961, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over NK Varazdin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
HNK Hajduk Split, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Istra 1961.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 1.1 xG, HNK Hajduk Split 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 22%, draw 25%, HNK Hajduk Split 53%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (78%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Istra 196122%fair 4.54 · @4.40
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.55
HNK Hajduk Split53%fair 1.87 · @1.72
2.65Expected goals
1.05Istra 1961 xG
1.60HNK Hajduk Split xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.1 – 1.6 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Hajduk Split to win✓
53%
1.87
1.72
Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
HNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Istra 1961 +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
HNK Hajduk Split to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✓
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Istra 1961 – last 5
WWLLL
20 Mar
vs NK Varazdin
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ HNK Rijeka
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs NK Osijek
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs HNK Gorica
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
HNK Hajduk Split – last 4
WLWW
15 Mar
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs HNK Rijeka
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ NK Osijek
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HNK Hajduk Split 53%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split (HNL) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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