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HNK Hajduk Split v NK Osijek: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Stadion Poljud
0–1
FT
HNK Hajduk Split 68%Draw 21%NK Osijek 12% Expected goals 1.99 – 0.71
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗68% · @1.37
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✗88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:45 WAT, Tuesday 21 April: HNK Hajduk Split v NK Osijek in the HNL, played at Stadion Poljud. In the table, HNK Hajduk Split are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; NK Osijek are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.

Current form

HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with NK Slaven Belupo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

NK Osijek, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to NK Varazdin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for NK Osijek.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended NK Osijek 0–2 HNK Hajduk Split.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 2.0 xG, NK Osijek 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 68%, draw 21%, NK Osijek 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 NK Osijek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Hajduk Split68%fair 1.48 · @1.37
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.20
NK Osijek12%fair 8.55 · @8.20
2.70Expected goals
1.99HNK Hajduk Split xG
0.71NK Osijek xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 2.0 – 0.7 NK Osijek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗68%1.481.37
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✗88%1.131.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.932.00
Draw no betHNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet) ✗85%1.17–
Asian handicapHNK Hajduk Split -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreHNK Hajduk Split to score first ✗69%1.46–
Half-time resultHNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split ✗43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

HNK Hajduk Split – last 6

DWWLWW
17 Apr@ NK Slaven Belupo2–2D
7 Apr@ Istra 19613–1W
15 Marvs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2–1W
8 Marvs Dinamo Zagreb1–3L
22 Febvs HNK Rijeka1–0W
15 Feb@ NK Osijek2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

NK Osijek – last 5

LDWLL
17 Aprvs NK Varazdin0–2L
22 Mar@ NK Slaven Belupo0–0D
6 Mar@ Istra 19611–0W
21 Feb@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–3L
15 Febvs HNK Hajduk Split0–2L
0.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026NK Osijek v HNK Hajduk Split0–2
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?

On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NK Osijek 12%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?

Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 NK Osijek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek (HNL) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.