Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 3.75 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHNK Gorica to win ✓43% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.79
HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the HNL brings HNK Gorica against Istra 1961 at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, HNK Gorica are 10th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 13 matches; Istra 1961 are 4th (among the top four) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
HNK Gorica, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vukovar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Istra 1961, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours HNK Gorica, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Istra 1961.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Istra 1961 0–2 HNK Gorica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Gorica 1.3 xG, Istra 1961 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Gorica 43%, draw 25%, Istra 1961 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Istra 1961 to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Gorica 1–1 Istra 1961. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Gorica43%fair 2.35 · @1.94
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
Istra 196132%fair 3.13 · @3.75
2.73Expected goals
1.29HNK Gorica xG
1.44Istra 1961 xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 1.3 – 1.4 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Istra 1961 32%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 1–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
