Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIstra 1961 to win ✓45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 4 May: Istra 1961 v NK Slaven Belupo in the HNL, played at Stadion Aldo Drosina. In the table, Istra 1961 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 13 matches; NK Slaven Belupo are 7th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Istra 1961, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to HNK Gorica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended NK Slaven Belupo 1–0 Istra 1961.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 1.8 xG, NK Slaven Belupo 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 45%, draw 24%, NK Slaven Belupo 31%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Istra 1961 to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Istra 196145%fair 2.24 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.05
NK Slaven Belupo31%fair 3.18 · @2.72
3.09Expected goals
1.82Istra 1961 xG
1.28NK Slaven Belupo xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.8 – 1.3 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NK Slaven Belupo 31%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo (HNL) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
