HNK Rijeka 67%Draw 20%Vukovar 13%Expected goals 2.22 – 0.92
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓67% · @1.33
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
HNK Rijeka vs Vukovar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vukovar travel to face HNK Rijeka on Friday 8 May in the HNL, with Stadion HNK Rijeka the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to NK Varazdin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Vukovar, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to HNK Gorica, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Vukovar 0–1 HNK Rijeka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 2.2 xG, Vukovar 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 67%, draw 20%, Vukovar 13%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 2–0 Vukovar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Rijeka67%fair 1.50 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.40
Vukovar13%fair 7.86 · @9.00
3.14Expected goals
2.22HNK Rijeka xG
0.92Vukovar xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 2.2 – 0.9 Vukovar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs Vukovar?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vukovar 13%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs Vukovar?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs Vukovar?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 2–0 Vukovar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs Vukovar?
HNK Rijeka vs Vukovar (HNL) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
