Value bet: NK Slaven Belupo to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultNK Slaven Belupo to win46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.48
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NK Slaven Belupo welcome HNK Gorica to Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas for a HNL fixture on Sunday 10 May (17:15 WAT). In the table, NK Slaven Belupo are 7th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; HNK Gorica are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Istra 1961, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
HNK Gorica, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Istra 1961, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours HNK Gorica, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for NK Slaven Belupo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Slaven Belupo 1.8 xG, HNK Gorica 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Slaven Belupo 46%, draw 24%, HNK Gorica 30%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: NK Slaven Belupo to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 HNK Gorica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Slaven Belupo46%fair 2.17 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.25
HNK Gorica30%fair 3.31 · @2.78
3.04Expected goals
1.78NK Slaven Belupo xG
1.26HNK Gorica xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 1.8 – 1.3 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Slaven Belupo to win
46%
2.17
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.71
1.70
Draw no bet
NK Slaven Belupo (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
HNK Gorica +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
NK Slaven Belupo to score first
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Slaven Belupo / FT NK Slaven Belupo
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
NK Slaven Belupo – last 6
LLDLDW
4 May
@ Istra 1961
1–3
L
21 Apr
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs HNK Hajduk Split
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ HNK Rijeka
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs NK Osijek
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Istra 1961
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
HNK Gorica – last 6
WWLLDW
27 Apr
vs Istra 1961
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Vukovar
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0–2
L
8 Apr
vs Dinamo Zagreb
3–6
L
3 Apr
@ NK Varazdin
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs HNK Rijeka
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica.
What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HNK Gorica 30%.
How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
