Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 4.10 – our chance 30% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✗46% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Rijeka travel to face Istra 1961 on Sunday 17 May in the HNL, with Stadion Aldo Drosina the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Istra 1961 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 13 matches; HNK Rijeka are 6th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Istra 1961, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over NK Osijek, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
HNK Rijeka, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended HNK Rijeka 0–2 Istra 1961.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 1.3 xG, HNK Rijeka 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 30%, draw 24%, HNK Rijeka 46%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Istra 1961 to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 1–1 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Istra 196130%fair 3.34 · @4.10
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.40
HNK Rijeka46%fair 2.19 · @1.81
2.66Expected goals
1.28Istra 1961 xG
1.37HNK Rijeka xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.3 – 1.4 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HNK Rijeka 46%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
