Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓78% · @1.17
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Friday 22 May: HNK Hajduk Split v Vukovar in the HNL, played at Stadion Poljud.
Current form
HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to NK Osijek, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Vukovar, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to HNK Rijeka, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Vukovar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 2.6 xG, Vukovar 0.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 78%, draw 15%, Vukovar 7%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 3–0 Vukovar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Hajduk Split78%fair 1.28 · @1.17
Draw15%fair 6.60 · @5.75
Vukovar7%fair 15.27 · @15.50
3.33Expected goals
2.63HNK Hajduk Split xG
0.70Vukovar xG
53%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–011%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 2.6 – 0.7 Vukovar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Hajduk Split to win✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
HNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
HNK Hajduk Split -1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
First team to score
HNK Hajduk Split to score first
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
HNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✓
55%
1.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
HNK Hajduk Split – last 6
LDWWLW
21 Apr
vs NK Osijek
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ NK Slaven Belupo
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Istra 1961
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs HNK Rijeka
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vukovar – last 6
LLLDLL
8 May
@ HNK Rijeka
0–3
L
22 Apr
vs HNK Gorica
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–4
L
7 Apr
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs HNK Rijeka
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Hajduk Split and Vukovar.
What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Vukovar 7%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 3–0 Vukovar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar (HNL) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
