Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultCelje to win ✗55% · @1.51
Double chanceCelje or draw ✗79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Aluminij vs Celje: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aluminij welcome Celje to Sportni park Aluminij for a 1. SNL fixture on Thursday 5 March (17:30 WAT). In the table, Aluminij are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Celje are 3rd (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Celje, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bravo, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aluminij 1.2 xG, Celje 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminij 21%, draw 24%, Celje 55%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminij 1–1 Celje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aluminij21%fair 4.83 · @5.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @4.40
Celje55%fair 1.81 · @1.51
2.97Expected goals
1.20Aluminij xG
1.77Celje xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Aluminij 1.2 – 1.8 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✗
55%
1.81
1.51
Double chance
Celje or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Draw no bet
Celje (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Aluminij +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
First team to score
Celje to score first✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✗
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Aluminij – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Bravo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Celje – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
@ Bravo
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Drita
3–2
W
19 Feb
@ Drita
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aluminij and Celje.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Aluminij vs Celje?
On our numbers Aluminij have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celje 55%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Celje?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Celje?
Our predicted score is Aluminij 1–1 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aluminij vs Celje?
Aluminij vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportni park Aluminij.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
