Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultMaribor to win ✗54% · @1.41
Double chanceMaribor or draw ✓78% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Aluminij vs Maribor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maribor travel to face Aluminij on Friday 20 March in the 1. SNL, with Sportni park Aluminij the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Aluminij are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Maribor are 2nd (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Aluminij, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Primorje, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Maribor, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Olimpija Ljubljana, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Maribor, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Aluminij.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aluminij 1.2 xG, Maribor 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminij 22%, draw 25%, Maribor 54%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminij 1–1 Maribor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aluminij22%fair 4.65 · @6.75
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @4.30
Maribor54%fair 1.86 · @1.41
2.86Expected goals
1.24Aluminij xG
1.62Maribor xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Aluminij 1.2 – 1.6 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maribor to win✗
54%
1.86
1.41
Double chance
Maribor or draw✓
78%
1.27
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.65
Draw no bet
Maribor (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Aluminij +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
First team to score
Maribor to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maribor / FT Maribor✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Aluminij – last 5
LWLWL
15 Mar
@ Primorje
0–2
L
11 Mar
@ Fužinar
4–0
W
8 Mar
vs Koper
2–4
L
5 Mar
vs Celje
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Bravo
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Maribor – last 3
DWW
8 Mar
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Bravo
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Primorje
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aluminij and Maribor.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Aluminij vs Maribor?
On our numbers Aluminij have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maribor 54%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Maribor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Aluminij 1–1 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aluminij vs Maribor?
Aluminij vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportni park Aluminij.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
