Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Koper to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKoper to win ✓44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Koper vs Maribor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maribor travel to face Koper on Tuesday 14 April in the 1. SNL, with Bonifika the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Koper are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 15 matches; Maribor are 2nd (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Koper, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Primorje, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Maribor, last 4: DDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aluminij, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Koper 1.7 xG, Maribor 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Koper 44%, draw 24%, Maribor 33%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Koper to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Koper 1–1 Maribor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Koper44%fair 2.29 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.55
Maribor33%fair 3.07 · @2.40
2.97Expected goals
1.72Koper xG
1.25Maribor xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Koper 1.7 – 1.2 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Koper to win✓
44%
2.29
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Draw no bet
Koper (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Maribor +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Koper to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Koper / FT Koper✓
29%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Koper – last 6
WLWWDD
10 Apr
@ Primorje
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Celje
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Aluminij
4–2
W
1 Mar
vs Mura
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
3–3
D
15 Feb
vs Radomlje
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Maribor – last 4
DDWW
20 Mar
@ Aluminij
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Bravo
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Primorje
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Koper and Maribor.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Koper vs Maribor?
On our numbers Koper have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maribor 33%.
How many goals will there be in Koper vs Maribor?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Koper vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Koper 1–1 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Koper vs Maribor?
Koper vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bonifika.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
