Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultCelje to win ✓57% · @1.67
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Mura vs Celje: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mura welcome Celje to Mestni stadion Fazanerija for a 1. SNL fixture on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT). In the table, Mura are 9th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Celje are 3rd (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Celje, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Olimpija Ljubljana, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mura 1.0 xG, Celje 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mura 19%, draw 23%, Celje 57%.
Lower-risk option: Celje or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mura 0–1 Celje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mura19%fair 5.21 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.95
Celje57%fair 1.74 · @1.67
2.84Expected goals
0.98Mura xG
1.86Celje xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Mura 1.0 – 1.9 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✓
57%
1.74
1.67
Double chance
Celje or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Draw no bet
Celje (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Mura +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Celje to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Celje ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Mura – last 2
LL
16 Apr
@ Aluminij
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Koper
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Celje – last 6
WWWWLL
15 Apr
vs Olimpija Ljubljana
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Primorje
5–1
W
19 Mar
@ AEK Athens FC
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Koper
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs AEK Athens FC
0–4
L
5 Mar
@ Aluminij
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mura and Celje.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Mura vs Celje?
On our numbers Mura have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celje 57%.
How many goals will there be in Mura vs Celje?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mura vs Celje?
Our predicted score is Mura 0–1 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mura vs Celje?
Mura vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
