Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCelje to win65% · @1.23
Double chanceCelje or draw86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.05
Celje vs Aluminij: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Celje v Aluminij in the 1. SNL, played at Stadion Z'dežele. In the table, Celje are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Aluminij are 7th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Celje, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mura, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Aluminij, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bravo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Celje, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Aluminij.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Aluminij 2–1 Celje.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celje 2.0 xG, Aluminij 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celje 65%, draw 22%, Aluminij 14%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celje 2–1 Aluminij. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celje65%fair 1.55 · @1.23
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @5.50
Aluminij14%fair 7.21 · @10.25
2.97Expected goals
2.01Celje xG
0.97Aluminij xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Celje 2.0 – 1.0 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Celje vs Aluminij?
On our numbers Celje have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aluminij 14%.
How many goals will there be in Celje vs Aluminij?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celje vs Aluminij?
Our predicted score is Celje 2–1 Aluminij, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Celje vs Aluminij?
Celje vs Aluminij (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Z'dežele.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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