Radomlje vs Maribor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Radomlje welcome Maribor to Športni Park for a 1. SNL fixture on Sunday 3 May (16:30 WAT). In the table, Radomlje are 10th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 14 matches; Maribor are 2nd (among the top four) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Radomlje, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Primorje, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Maribor, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Koper, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Radomlje 1.2 xG, Maribor 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Radomlje 19%, draw 21%, Maribor 59%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Radomlje 1–2 Maribor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Radomlje19%fair 5.16 · @6.00
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.45
Maribor59%fair 1.68 · @1.43
3.21Expected goals
1.18Radomlje xG
2.04Maribor xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Radomlje 1.2 – 2.0 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maribor to win
59%
1.68
1.43
Double chance
Maribor or draw
81%
1.24
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
64%
1.56
1.50
Draw no bet
Maribor (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Radomlje +1.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.30
First team to score
Maribor to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Maribor ahead at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maribor / FT Maribor
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Radomlje – last 6
WLWLDD
26 Apr
@ Primorje
3–2
W
22 Apr
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Aluminij
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Bravo
1–3
L
4 Mar
@ Dekani
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Koper
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Maribor – last 5
LDDWW
14 Apr
@ Koper
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ Aluminij
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Bravo
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Primorje
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Radomlje and Maribor.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Radomlje vs Maribor?
On our numbers Radomlje have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maribor 59%.
How many goals will there be in Radomlje vs Maribor?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Radomlje vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Radomlje 1–2 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Radomlje vs Maribor?
Radomlje vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Športni Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
