Maribor travel to face Mura on Sunday 17 May in the 1. SNL, with Mestni stadion Fazanerija the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Mura are 9th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Maribor are 2nd (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Mura, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Primorje, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Maribor, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Koper, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Maribor, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.6 for Mura.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mura 1.1 xG, Maribor 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mura 25%, draw 24%, Maribor 51%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mura 1–1 Maribor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mura25%fair 4.01 · @3.55
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.60
Maribor51%fair 1.95 · @1.89
2.75Expected goals
1.10Mura xG
1.66Maribor xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Mura 1.1 – 1.7 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maribor to win✗
51%
1.95
1.89
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.60
Draw no bet
Maribor (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Mura +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Maribor to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maribor / FT Maribor✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Mura – last 5
WLLLL
10 May
@ Primorje
2–0
W
3 May
vs Koper
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Celje
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Aluminij
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Koper
0–3
L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Maribor – last 5
LDDWW
14 Apr
@ Koper
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ Aluminij
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Bravo
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Primorje
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mura and Maribor.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mura vs Maribor?
On our numbers Mura have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maribor 51%.
How many goals will there be in Mura vs Maribor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mura vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Mura 1–1 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mura vs Maribor?
Mura vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
