Maribor 55%Draw 23%Aluminij 22%Expected goals 1.71 – 1.12
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultMaribor to win ✓55% · @1.52
Double chanceMaribor or draw ✓78% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Maribor vs Aluminij: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 23 May: Maribor v Aluminij in the 1. SNL, played at Ljudski vrt. In the table, Maribor are 2nd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Aluminij are 7th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Maribor, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mura, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aluminij, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Brinje-Grosuplje, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Aluminij 1–1 Maribor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maribor 1.7 xG, Aluminij 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maribor 55%, draw 23%, Aluminij 22%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maribor 1–1 Aluminij. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maribor55%fair 1.83 · @1.52
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.20
Aluminij22%fair 4.52 · @5.10
2.83Expected goals
1.71Maribor xG
1.12Aluminij xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Maribor 1.7 – 1.1 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Maribor vs Aluminij?
On our numbers Maribor have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aluminij 22%.
How many goals will there be in Maribor vs Aluminij?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maribor vs Aluminij?
Our predicted score is Maribor 1–1 Aluminij, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Maribor vs Aluminij?
Maribor vs Aluminij (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Ljudski vrt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
