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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Plzen v Sparta Praha: numbers & prediction

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic · Doosan Arena

Sparta Praha

Plzen 40%Draw 24%Sparta Praha 35% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.45

77%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating

1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultPlzen to win ✗40% · @2.56

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25

Plzen vs Sparta Praha: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sparta Praha travel to face Plzen on Sunday 22 February in the Czech Liga, with Doosan Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Plzen are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Sparta Praha are 4th (among the top four) with 24.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Plzen 1.6 xG, Sparta Praha 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Plzen 40%, draw 24%, Sparta Praha 35%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plzen 1–1 Sparta Praha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Plzen40%fair 2.50 · @2.56

Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.25

Sparta Praha35%fair 2.82 · @2.56

3.10Expected goals

1.65Plzen xG

1.45Sparta Praha xG

62%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–28%

1–07%

0–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Plzen 1.6 – 1.5 Sparta Praha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Plzen to win ✗	40%	2.50	2.56
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	62%	1.62	1.65
Draw no bet	Plzen (draw no bet)	53%	1.88	–
Asian handicap	Sparta Praha +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	77%	1.30	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
First team to score	Plzen to score first ✗	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	39%	2.57	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Plzen / FT Plzen ✗	25%	3.93	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.25	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Plzen and Sparta Praha.

Plzen vs Sparta Praha head-to-head page →

Czech Liga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slavia Praha	14	10	4	0	+28	34
2	Slovan Liberec	13	8	2	3	+8	26
3	Mlada Boleslav	14	7	4	3	+7	25
4	Sparta Praha	14	7	3	4	+12	24
5	Sigma Olomouc	14	7	3	4	+2	24
6	Teplice	14	6	3	5	0	21
7	FK Jablonec	14	6	3	5	-2	21
8	Plzen	14	5	5	4	+7	20
9	Bohemians 1905	14	5	5	4	0	20
10	Zbrojovka Brno	14	6	2	6	-5	20
11	Hradec Králové	14	5	3	6	-1	18
12	Pardubice	14	5	2	7	-1	17
13	Baník Ostrava	13	4	2	7	-13	14
14	Artis	14	2	4	8	-13	10
15	Slovácko	14	2	4	8	-13	10
16	Zlin	14	0	3	11	-16	3

More Czech Liga predictions

League hub

Bohemians 19051

Dukla Praha0 156%1.66X25%3.40219%5.20 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Baník Ostrava0

Mlada Boleslav0 148%1.68X24%3.75228%4.35 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗

Teplice1

Sigma Olomouc3 139%2.84X27%2.88233%2.56 1.3–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plzen vs Sparta Praha?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Plzen vs Sparta Praha?

On our numbers Plzen have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sparta Praha 35%.

How many goals will there be in Plzen vs Sparta Praha?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Plzen vs Sparta Praha?

Our predicted score is Plzen 1–1 Sparta Praha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Plzen vs Sparta Praha?

Plzen vs Sparta Praha (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Doosan Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.