Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Pardubice to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKarviná to win ✗39% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Karviná vs Pardubice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pardubice travel to face Karviná on Sunday 8 March in the Czech Liga, with Town Stadium Karvina the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT.
Current form
Karviná, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Plzen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karviná 1.5 xG, Pardubice 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karviná 39%, draw 24%, Pardubice 37%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Pardubice to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karviná 1–1 Pardubice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karviná39%fair 2.54 · @2.14
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.55
Pardubice37%fair 2.72 · @2.95
2.99Expected goals
1.51Karviná xG
1.48Pardubice xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Karviná 1.5 – 1.5 Pardubice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karviná to win✗
39%
2.54
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Draw no bet
Karviná (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Pardubice +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Karviná to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karviná / FT Karviná✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
Karviná – last 3
WLL
5 Mar
vs Plzen
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Slovácko
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ FK Jablonec
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pardubice – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Slovácko
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs FK Jablonec
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karviná and Pardubice.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Karviná vs Pardubice?
On our numbers Karviná have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pardubice 37%.
How many goals will there be in Karviná vs Pardubice?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karviná vs Pardubice?
Our predicted score is Karviná 1–1 Pardubice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Karviná vs Pardubice?
Karviná vs Pardubice (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Town Stadium Karvina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
