Plzen vs Pardubice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Plzen welcome Pardubice to Doosan Arena for a Czech Liga fixture on Sunday 19 April (17:30 WAT). In the table, Plzen are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Pardubice are 12th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Plzen, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bohemians 1905, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pardubice, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Karviná, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plzen 1.9 xG, Pardubice 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plzen 58%, draw 22%, Pardubice 20%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plzen 1–1 Pardubice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plzen58%fair 1.73 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.40
Pardubice20%fair 4.91 · @6.80
3.20Expected goals
1.93Plzen xG
1.28Pardubice xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Plzen 1.9 – 1.3 Pardubice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plzen to win
58%
1.73
1.39
Double chance
Plzen or draw
80%
1.26
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
Plzen (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Pardubice +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Plzen to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Plzen ahead at half-time
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plzen / FT Plzen
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Plzen – last 6
WWLLDD
15 Mar
vs Bohemians 1905
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Hradec Králové
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Karviná
0–3
L
1 Mar
@ Zlin
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Sparta Praha
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Panathinaikos
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pardubice – last 3
WLL
8 Mar
@ Karviná
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Slovácko
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs FK Jablonec
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plzen and Pardubice.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Plzen vs Pardubice?
On our numbers Plzen have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pardubice 20%.
How many goals will there be in Plzen vs Pardubice?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plzen vs Pardubice?
Our predicted score is Plzen 1–1 Pardubice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Plzen vs Pardubice?
Plzen vs Pardubice (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Doosan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
