Double chanceRadnik Surdulica or draw ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.67
Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Radnik Surdulica v Napredak in the Super Liga, played at EFBET Stadion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Radnik Surdulica 1.6 xG, Napredak 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Radnik Surdulica 56%, draw 25%, Napredak 19%.
Lower-risk option: Radnik Surdulica or draw (81%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Radnik Surdulica 1–0 Napredak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Radnik Surdulica56%fair 1.79 · @1.63
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.40
Napredak19%fair 5.28 · @4.60
2.44Expected goals
1.61Radnik Surdulica xG
0.82Napredak xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Radnik Surdulica 1.6 – 0.8 Napredak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Radnik Surdulica to win✓
56%
1.79
1.63
Double chance
Radnik Surdulica or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.05
Draw no bet
Radnik Surdulica (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Napredak +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Radnik Surdulica to score first✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Radnik Surdulica / FT Radnik Surdulica✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Radnik Surdulica – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Radnicki 1923
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Napredak – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Radnicki NIS
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Radnik Surdulica and Napredak.
What is the prediction for Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak?
On our numbers Radnik Surdulica have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Napredak 19%.
How many goals will there be in Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak?
Our predicted score is Radnik Surdulica 1–0 Napredak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak?
Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at EFBET Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
