Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFK Crvena Zvezda to win ✓82% · @1.03
Double chanceFK Crvena Zvezda or draw ✓95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.95
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 8 March: FK Crvena Zvezda v Napredak in the Super Liga, played at Stadion Rajko Mit.
Current form
FK Crvena Zvezda, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Novi Pazar, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Napredak, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FK Crvena Zvezda, collecting 2.4 points per game to 0.3 for Napredak.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Crvena Zvezda 2.9 xG, Napredak 0.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Crvena Zvezda 82%, draw 13%, Napredak 5%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (57%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Crvena Zvezda 4–0 Napredak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Crvena Zvezda82%fair 1.22 · @1.03
Draw13%fair 7.67 · @11.00
Napredak5%fair 19.48 · @36.00
3.54Expected goals
2.91FK Crvena Zvezda xG
0.63Napredak xG
51%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–012%
4–09%
1–08%
2–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: FK Crvena Zvezda 2.9 – 0.6 Napredak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Crvena Zvezda to win✓
82%
1.22
1.03
Double chance
FK Crvena Zvezda or draw✓
95%
1.05
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.35 ▲
Draw no bet
FK Crvena Zvezda (draw no bet)✓
94%
1.06
–
Asian handicap
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.14
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.83 ▲
First team to score
FK Crvena Zvezda to score first✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
FK Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Crvena Zvezda / FT FK Crvena Zvezda✓
60%
1.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.95
–
Recent results
FK Crvena Zvezda – last 5
WWLWW
5 Mar
@ Novi Pazar
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Radnicki 1923
2–0
W
26 Feb
vs Lille
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FK Partizan
3–0
W
19 Feb
@ Lille
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Napredak – last 3
DLL
1 Mar
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Radnik Surdulica
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Radnicki NIS
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Crvena Zvezda and Napredak.
What is the prediction for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak?
On our numbers FK Crvena Zvezda have a 82% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Napredak 5%.
How many goals will there be in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak?
Our predicted score is FK Crvena Zvezda 4–0 Napredak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak?
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak (Super Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rajko Mit.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV0