Value bet: Radnik Surdulica to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOFK Beograd to win ✗40% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.19
OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Thursday 9 April: OFK Beograd v Radnik Surdulica in the Super Liga, played at Stadion pod Kraljevicom. In the table, OFK Beograd are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 15 matches; Radnik Surdulica are 6th (upper half) with 23. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
OFK Beograd, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Radnicki NIS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Radnik Surdulica, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FK Crvena Zvezda, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give OFK Beograd 1.3 xG, Radnik Surdulica 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – OFK Beograd 40%, draw 26%, Radnik Surdulica 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Radnik Surdulica to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: OFK Beograd 1–1 Radnik Surdulica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
OFK Beograd40%fair 2.51 · @2.12
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
Radnik Surdulica34%fair 2.93 · @3.20
2.60Expected goals
1.31OFK Beograd xG
1.29Radnik Surdulica xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: OFK Beograd 1.3 – 1.3 Radnik Surdulica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
OFK Beograd to win✗
40%
2.51
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.65
Draw no bet
OFK Beograd (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Radnik Surdulica +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
OFK Beograd to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT OFK Beograd / FT OFK Beograd✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.19
–
Recent results
OFK Beograd – last 6
WDDDDL
3 Apr
@ Radnicki NIS
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs IMT Novi Beograd
3–3
D
16 Mar
@ Napredak
2–2
D
9 Mar
vs Radnicki 1923
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Železničar Pančevo
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Novi Pazar
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Radnik Surdulica – last 6
LWDDWD
5 Apr
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Radnicki NIS
2–2
D
2 Mar
@ IMT Novi Beograd
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Napredak
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Radnicki 1923
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between OFK Beograd and Radnik Surdulica.
What is the prediction for OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
On our numbers OFK Beograd have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Radnik Surdulica 34%.
How many goals will there be in OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
Our predicted score is OFK Beograd 1–1 Radnik Surdulica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica (Super Liga) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Kraljevicom.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.