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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Glentoran v Carrick Rangers: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · The BetMcLean Oval
Glentoran 60%Draw 24%Carrick Rangers 16% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.89
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGlentoran to win ✓60% · @1.50
Double chanceGlentoran or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 3 March: Glentoran v Carrick Rangers in the Premiership, played at The BetMcLean Oval. In the table, Glentoran are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 14 matches; Carrick Rangers are 6th (upper half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Glentoran 1.8 xG, Carrick Rangers 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Glentoran 60%, draw 24%, Carrick Rangers 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Glentoran 1–1 Carrick Rangers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Glentoran60%fair 1.67 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.80
Carrick Rangers16%fair 6.22 · @5.80
2.68Expected goals
1.78Glentoran xG
0.89Carrick Rangers xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Glentoran 1.8 – 0.9 Carrick Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

GlentoranCarrick Rangers
Attack vs Premiership average-12%+11%
Goals conceded vs average-43%+24%
Our expected goals here1.560.89

Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGlentoran to win ✓60%1.671.50
Double chanceGlentoran or draw ✓84%1.191.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.90 ▲
Draw no betGlentoran (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapCarrick Rangers +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreGlentoran to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultGlentoran ahead at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Glentoran / FT Glentoran ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Glentoran – last 2

WW
24 Feb@ Cliftonville FC4–0W
17 Febvs Drumaness Mills5–0W
4.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Carrick Rangers – last 1

W
20 Feb@ Larne3–2W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Glentoran and Carrick Rangers.

Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers?

On our numbers Glentoran have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Carrick Rangers 16%.

How many goals will there be in Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers?

Our predicted score is Glentoran 1–1 Carrick Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers?

Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The BetMcLean Oval.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.