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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ballymena United v Crusaders FC: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Ballymena Showgrounds
Ballymena United 53%Draw 24%Crusaders FC 23% Expected goals 1.78 – 1.18
77%
Betarazi pick

Ballymena United or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBallymena United to win ✓53% · @1.91
Double chanceBallymena United or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 17 February the Premiership brings Ballymena United against Crusaders FC at Ballymena Showgrounds. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Ballymena United are 9th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Crusaders FC are 8th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ballymena United 1.8 xG, Crusaders FC 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ballymena United 53%, draw 24%, Crusaders FC 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ballymena United or draw (77%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ballymena United or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ballymena United 1–1 Crusaders FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ballymena United53%fair 1.90 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.45
Crusaders FC23%fair 4.26 · @3.45
2.96Expected goals
1.78Ballymena United xG
1.18Crusaders FC xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: Ballymena United 1.8 – 1.2 Crusaders FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ballymena UnitedCrusaders FC
Attack vs Premiership average-10%-7%
Goals conceded vs average-5%+34%
Our expected goals here1.721.24

Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBallymena United to win ✓53%1.901.91
Double chanceBallymena United or draw ✓77%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.57
Draw no betBallymena United (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapCrusaders FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.801.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreBallymena United to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ballymena United / FT Ballymena United ✗32%3.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Ballymena United

No recent results on record.

Crusaders FC

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ballymena United and Crusaders FC.

Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?

Our pick is Ballymena United or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?

On our numbers Ballymena United have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Crusaders FC 23%.

How many goals will there be in Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?

Our predicted score is Ballymena United 1–1 Crusaders FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?

Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ballymena Showgrounds.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.