Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLarne to win ✗61% · @1.44
Double chanceLarne or draw ✗82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Larne vs Carrick Rangers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 20 February: Larne v Carrick Rangers in the Premiership, played at Inver Park. In the table, Larne are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Carrick Rangers are 6th (upper half) with 19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Larne 2.0 xG, Carrick Rangers 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Larne 61%, draw 20%, Carrick Rangers 18%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Larne 1–1 Carrick Rangers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Larne61%fair 1.63 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.33
Carrick Rangers18%fair 5.46 · @6.00
3.07Expected goals
1.98Larne xG
1.09Carrick Rangers xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Larne 2.0 – 1.1 Carrick Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Larne
Carrick Rangers
Attack vs Premiership average
+21%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+24%
Our expected goals here
2.15
1.38
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larne to win✗
61%
1.63
1.44
Double chance
Larne or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Larne (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Carrick Rangers +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.37
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.14
First team to score
Larne to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Larne ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larne / FT Larne✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Larne
No recent results on record.
Carrick Rangers
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Larne and Carrick Rangers.
What is the prediction for Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
On our numbers Larne have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Carrick Rangers 18%.
How many goals will there be in Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
Our predicted score is Larne 1–1 Carrick Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
Larne vs Carrick Rangers (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
