Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLinfield to win48% · @1.85
Double chanceLinfield or draw77% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.00
Linfield vs Glentoran: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Premiership brings Linfield against Glentoran at Windsor Park. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Linfield are 1st, leading the league, on 36 points after 15 matches; Glentoran are 4th (among the top four) with 22. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Linfield 1.3 xG, Glentoran 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Linfield 48%, draw 29%, Glentoran 23%.
Lower-risk option: Linfield or draw (77%) at 1.24.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Linfield 1–0 Glentoran. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Linfield48%fair 2.09 · @1.85
Draw29%fair 3.39 · @3.40
Glentoran23%fair 4.42 · @3.80
2.19Expected goals
1.28Linfield xG
0.91Glentoran xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Linfield 1.3 – 0.9 Glentoran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Linfield
Glentoran
Attack vs Premiership average
+13%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-36%
-43%
Our expected goals here
0.92
0.80
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Linfield to win
48%
2.09
1.85
Double chance
Linfield or draw
77%
1.29
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
2.00
2.00
Draw no bet
Linfield (draw no bet)
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Glentoran +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.07
First team to score
Linfield to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Linfield / FT Linfield
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
Linfield – last 1
W
17 Feb
@ Dungannon Swifts
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Glentoran – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Drumaness Mills
5–0
W
5.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Linfield and Glentoran.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Linfield vs Glentoran?
On our numbers Linfield have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Glentoran 23%.
How many goals will there be in Linfield vs Glentoran?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Glentoran?
Our predicted score is Linfield 1–0 Glentoran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Linfield vs Glentoran?
Linfield vs Glentoran (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Glenavon FC3