Larne vs Dungannon Swifts: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 March the Premiership brings Larne against Dungannon Swifts at Inver Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Larne are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Dungannon Swifts are 7th (lower half) with 18.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Larne 1.9 xG, Dungannon Swifts 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Larne 58%, draw 24%, Dungannon Swifts 18%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Larne 1–1 Dungannon Swifts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Larne58%fair 1.71 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.75
Dungannon Swifts18%fair 5.57 · @5.80
2.87Expected goals
1.86Larne xG
1.01Dungannon Swifts xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Larne 1.9 – 1.0 Dungannon Swifts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Larne
Dungannon Swifts
Attack vs Premiership average
+21%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.90
1.13
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larne to win✓
58%
1.71
1.50
Double chance
Larne or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Larne (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Dungannon Swifts +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Larne to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Larne ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larne / FT Larne✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Larne – last 2
DL
24 Feb
vs Linfield
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Carrick Rangers
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dungannon Swifts – last 2
LW
17 Feb
vs Linfield
1–4
L
13 Feb
vs Cliftonville FC
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Larne and Dungannon Swifts.
What is the prediction for Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
On our numbers Larne have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dungannon Swifts 18%.
How many goals will there be in Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our predicted score is Larne 1–1 Dungannon Swifts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Larne vs Dungannon Swifts (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
