Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Linfield vs Portadown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 10 March: Linfield v Portadown in the Premiership, played at Windsor Park. In the table, Linfield are 1st, leading the league, on 36 points after 15 matches; Portadown are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Linfield, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cliftonville FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Linfield 1.9 xG, Portadown 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Linfield 67%, draw 21%, Portadown 13%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Linfield 2–0 Portadown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Linfield67%fair 1.50 · @1.28
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.50
Portadown13%fair 7.96 · @11.00
2.57Expected goals
1.88Linfield xG
0.68Portadown xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Linfield 1.9 – 0.7 Portadown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Linfield
Portadown
Attack vs Premiership average
+13%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
-36%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.70
0.64
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Linfield to win✓
67%
1.50
1.28
Double chance
Linfield or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.55
Draw no bet
Linfield (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Linfield -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Linfield to score first
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Linfield ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Linfield / FT Linfield✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
Linfield – last 3
LDW
1 Mar
@ Cliftonville FC
0–2
L
24 Feb
@ Larne
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Dungannon Swifts
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Portadown – last 1
L
4 Mar
vs Cliftonville FC
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Linfield and Portadown.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Linfield vs Portadown?
On our numbers Linfield have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portadown 13%.
How many goals will there be in Linfield vs Portadown?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Portadown?
Our predicted score is Linfield 2–0 Portadown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Linfield vs Portadown?
Linfield vs Portadown (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.