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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Linfield v Portadown: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Windsor Park
3–1
FT
Linfield 67%Draw 21%Portadown 13% Expected goals 1.88 – 0.68
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLinfield to win ✓67% · @1.28
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.72

Linfield vs Portadown: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 10 March: Linfield v Portadown in the Premiership, played at Windsor Park. In the table, Linfield are 1st, leading the league, on 36 points after 15 matches; Portadown are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Linfield, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cliftonville FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Linfield 1.9 xG, Portadown 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Linfield 67%, draw 21%, Portadown 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Linfield 2–0 Portadown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Linfield67%fair 1.50 · @1.28
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.50
Portadown13%fair 7.96 · @11.00
2.57Expected goals
1.88Linfield xG
0.68Portadown xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Linfield 1.9 – 0.7 Portadown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

LinfieldPortadown
Attack vs Premiership average+13%-29%
Goals conceded vs average-36%+6%
Our expected goals here1.700.64

Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLinfield to win ✓67%1.501.28
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓87%1.141.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.941.55
Draw no betLinfield (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapLinfield -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreLinfield to score first68%1.48–
Half-time resultLinfield ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Linfield / FT Linfield ✗42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%11.72–

Recent results

Linfield – last 3

LDW
1 Mar@ Cliftonville FC0–2L
24 Feb@ Larne1–1D
17 Feb@ Dungannon Swifts4–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Portadown – last 1

L
4 Marvs Cliftonville FC0–2L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Linfield and Portadown.

Linfield vs Portadown head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Linfield vs Portadown?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Linfield vs Portadown?

On our numbers Linfield have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portadown 13%.

How many goals will there be in Linfield vs Portadown?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Portadown?

Our predicted score is Linfield 2–0 Portadown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Linfield vs Portadown?

Linfield vs Portadown (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.