Institute vs Loughgall: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Institute welcome Loughgall to The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium for a Championship fixture on Tuesday 3 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, Institute are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Loughgall are 8th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Loughgall, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Newington Youth, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Institute 1.5 xG, Loughgall 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Institute 37%, draw 24%, Loughgall 39%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Institute 1–1 Loughgall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Institute37%fair 2.71 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.40
Loughgall39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
2.81Expected goals
1.47Institute xG
1.35Loughgall xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Institute 1.5 – 1.3 Loughgall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Loughgall to win✗
39%
2.56
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.73
Draw no bet
Loughgall (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Loughgall +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Institute to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Institute / FT Institute✓
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.54
–
Recent results
Institute – last 2
WL
21 Feb
@ H&W Welders
4–1
W
17 Feb
@ Annagh United
1–3
L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Loughgall – last 3
WDW
24 Feb
vs Newington Youth
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Limavady United
0–0
D
17 Feb
vs Ballinamallard United
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Institute and Loughgall.
What is the prediction for Institute vs Loughgall?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Institute vs Loughgall?
On our numbers Institute have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Loughgall 39%.
How many goals will there be in Institute vs Loughgall?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Institute vs Loughgall?
Our predicted score is Institute 1–1 Loughgall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Institute vs Loughgall?
Institute vs Loughgall (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.