Loughgall vs Ards: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 10 March the Championship brings Loughgall against Ards at Lakeview Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Loughgall are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Ards are 11th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Loughgall, last 4: LWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Institute, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Loughgall 1.5 xG, Ards 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Loughgall 53%, draw 25%, Ards 21%.
Lower-risk option: Loughgall or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Loughgall 1–1 Ards. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Loughgall53%fair 1.87 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @4.00
Ards21%fair 4.69 · @4.00
2.43Expected goals
1.50Loughgall xG
0.92Ards xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Loughgall 1.5 – 0.9 Ards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Loughgall to win✗
53%
1.87
1.62
Double chance
Loughgall or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Draw no bet
Loughgall (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Ards +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Loughgall to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Loughgall / FT Loughgall✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Loughgall – last 4
LWDW
3 Mar
@ Institute
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Newington Youth
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Limavady United
0–0
D
17 Feb
vs Ballinamallard United
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ards – last 2
WD
3 Mar
vs Limavady United
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Queen's University
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Loughgall and Ards.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Loughgall vs Ards?
On our numbers Loughgall have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ards 21%.
How many goals will there be in Loughgall vs Ards?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Loughgall vs Ards?
Our predicted score is Loughgall 1–1 Ards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Loughgall vs Ards?
Loughgall vs Ards (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Lakeview Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
