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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Loughgall v Institute: numbers & prediction

Championship · Northern-Ireland · Lakeview Park
1–3
FT
Loughgall 51%Draw 25%Institute 24% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.19
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLoughgall to win ✗51% · @1.73
Double chanceLoughgall or draw ✗76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64

Loughgall vs Institute: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Institute travel to face Loughgall on Friday 20 March in the Championship, with Lakeview Park the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Loughgall are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Institute are 6th (upper half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Loughgall, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ards, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Institute, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Loughgall, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Institute, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Loughgall.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Institute 2–0 Loughgall.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Loughgall 1.6 xG, Institute 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Loughgall 51%, draw 25%, Institute 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Loughgall or draw (76%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Loughgall 1–1 Institute. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Loughgall51%fair 1.94 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.50
Institute24%fair 4.17 · @4.00
2.81Expected goals
1.62Loughgall xG
1.19Institute xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Loughgall 1.6 – 1.2 Institute expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLoughgall to win ✗51%1.941.73
Double chanceLoughgall or draw ✗76%1.321.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.67
Draw no betLoughgall (draw no bet) ✗68%1.47–
Asian handicapInstitute +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.481.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
First team to scoreLoughgall to score first54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Loughgall / FT Loughgall ✗28%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.64–

Recent results

Loughgall – last 5

LLWDW
10 Marvs Ards0–1L
3 Mar@ Institute0–2L
24 Febvs Newington Youth2–1W
21 Feb@ Limavady United0–0D
17 Febvs Ballinamallard United1–0W
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Institute – last 3

WWL
3 Marvs Loughgall2–0W
21 Feb@ H&W Welders4–1W
17 Feb@ Annagh United1–3L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Institute v Loughgall2–0
Loughgall vs Institute head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Annagh United151041+2134
2Glenavon FC14932+2030
3Newington Youth14923+1329
4Queen's University15726+923
5Newry City AFC15654-123
6Institute14635+321
7Ballinamallard United15636021
8Loughgall15555-520
9H&W Welders14617019
10Warrenpoint Town13535+118
11Ards15456-417
12Rathfriland14518-1016
13Moyola Park14437-1115
14Dundela13256-811
15Strabane Athletic15258-1211
16Armagh City15168-169

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Loughgall vs Institute?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Loughgall vs Institute?

On our numbers Loughgall have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Institute 24%.

How many goals will there be in Loughgall vs Institute?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Loughgall vs Institute?

Our predicted score is Loughgall 1–1 Institute, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Loughgall vs Institute?

Loughgall vs Institute (Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Lakeview Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.