Value bet: Accrington ST to win @ 3.70 – our chance 36% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBarnet to win ✓39% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Accrington ST vs Barnet: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barnet travel to face Accrington ST on Tuesday 24 February in the League Two, with The Wham Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Accrington ST are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Barnet are 2nd (among the top four) with 26.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.4 xG, Barnet 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 36%, draw 25%, Barnet 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Accrington ST to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–1 Barnet. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Accrington ST36%fair 2.77 · @3.70
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.30
Barnet39%fair 2.54 · @2.02
2.80Expected goals
1.44Accrington ST xG
1.35Barnet xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.4 – 1.4 Barnet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Accrington ST
Barnet
Attack vs League Two average
+12%
+42%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.88
1.48
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✓
39%
2.54
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.75
Draw no bet
Barnet (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Barnet +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
Accrington ST to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
Accrington ST – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Shrewsbury
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Barnet – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Colchester
1–4
L
17 Feb
vs Swindon Town
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Barnet.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Barnet?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Barnet?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barnet 39%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Barnet?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Barnet?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Barnet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Barnet?
Accrington ST vs Barnet (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
