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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cheltenham v Tranmere: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · EV Charger Points Stadium
1–3
FT
Cheltenham 46%Draw 25%Tranmere 29% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.22
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultCheltenham to win ✗46% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Cheltenham vs Tranmere: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 21 April: Cheltenham v Tranmere in the League Two, played at EV Charger Points Stadium. In the table, Cheltenham are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Tranmere are 11th (upper half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cheltenham, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gillingham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Tranmere, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colchester, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Cheltenham, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Tranmere.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cheltenham 1.6 xG, Tranmere 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cheltenham 46%, draw 25%, Tranmere 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cheltenham 1–1 Tranmere. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cheltenham46%fair 2.20 · @2.28
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Tranmere29%fair 3.41 · @3.10
2.82Expected goals
1.59Cheltenham xG
1.22Tranmere xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Cheltenham 1.6 – 1.2 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CheltenhamTranmere
Attack vs League Two average+12%-6%
Goals conceded vs average+24%+2%
Our expected goals here1.761.34

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCheltenham to win ✗46%2.202.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.85
Draw no betCheltenham (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapTranmere +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.381.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.07
First team to scoreCheltenham to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cheltenham / FT Cheltenham ✗28%3.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

Cheltenham – last 6

WDLDDD
14 Aprvs Gillingham2–1W
6 Aprvs Cambridge United1–1D
3 Apr@ Chesterfield0–1L
17 Marvs Crewe1–1D
10 Mar@ Fleetwood Town2–2D
6 Marvs Barrow2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tranmere – last 6

LLLLLL
6 Aprvs Colchester0–1L
3 Apr@ Shrewsbury0–1L
17 Marvs Harrogate Town0–3L
3 Mar@ Newport County1–3L
21 Feb@ Notts County0–5L
17 Febvs Accrington ST0–1L
0.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cheltenham and Tranmere.

Cheltenham vs Tranmere head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cheltenham vs Tranmere?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Cheltenham vs Tranmere?

On our numbers Cheltenham have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tranmere 29%.

How many goals will there be in Cheltenham vs Tranmere?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cheltenham vs Tranmere?

Our predicted score is Cheltenham 1–1 Tranmere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Cheltenham vs Tranmere?

Cheltenham vs Tranmere (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at EV Charger Points Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.