Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouthampton to win ✓54% · @1.91
Double chanceSouthampton or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Southampton vs Norwich: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Wednesday 18 March: Southampton v Norwich in the Championship, played at St. Mary's Stadium. In the table, Southampton are 7th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Norwich are 12th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Southampton, last 4: DWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with West Brom, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Norwich, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sheffield Utd, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southampton 1.8 xG, Norwich 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southampton 54%, draw 24%, Norwich 22%.
Lower-risk option: Southampton or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Southampton or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southampton 1–1 Norwich. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southampton54%fair 1.84 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.60
Norwich22%fair 4.57 · @3.75
2.93Expected goals
1.82Southampton xG
1.12Norwich xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Southampton 1.8 – 1.1 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southampton to win✓
54%
1.84
1.91
Double chance
Southampton or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Draw no bet
Southampton (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Norwich +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.15
First team to score
Southampton to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Southampton ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southampton / FT Southampton✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Southampton – last 4
DWWD
11 Mar
@ West Brom
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Fulham
1–0
W
24 Feb
vs QPR
5–0
W
21 Feb
vs Charlton
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Norwich – last 5
WLWWL
11 Mar
vs Sheffield Utd
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Leeds
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Leicester
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Birmingham
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southampton and Norwich.
What is the prediction for Southampton vs Norwich?
Our pick is Southampton or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Southampton vs Norwich?
On our numbers Southampton have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Norwich 22%.
How many goals will there be in Southampton vs Norwich?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Norwich?
Our predicted score is Southampton 1–1 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Southampton vs Norwich?
Southampton vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at St. Mary's Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
