QPR vs Middlesbrough: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Middlesbrough travel to face QPR on Sunday 8 March in the Championship, with Loftus Road the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, QPR are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Middlesbrough are 2nd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Middlesbrough, last 4: WDDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Birmingham, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give QPR 1.3 xG, Middlesbrough 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – QPR 27%, draw 26%, Middlesbrough 47%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: QPR 1–1 Middlesbrough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
QPR27%fair 3.71 · @3.85
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.50
Middlesbrough47%fair 2.11 · @1.90
2.84Expected goals
1.30QPR xG
1.53Middlesbrough xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: QPR 1.3 – 1.5 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✓
47%
2.11
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.75
Draw no bet
Middlesbrough (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
QPR +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Middlesbrough to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✓
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
QPR – last 2
LW
24 Feb
@ Southampton
0–5
L
21 Feb
@ Hull City
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Middlesbrough – last 4
WDDL
2 Mar
@ Birmingham
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Leicester
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Oxford United
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Coventry
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between QPR and Middlesbrough.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win QPR vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers QPR have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Middlesbrough 47%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Middlesbrough?
QPR vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
