Wrexham vs Swansea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 March the Championship brings Wrexham against Swansea at SToK Cae Ras. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Wrexham are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Swansea are 6th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Wrexham, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hull City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Swansea, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Portsmouth, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wrexham 1.3 xG, Swansea 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wrexham 41%, draw 27%, Swansea 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wrexham 1–1 Swansea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wrexham41%fair 2.43 · @2.26
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.30
Swansea32%fair 3.10 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.34Wrexham xG
1.16Swansea xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Wrexham 1.3 – 1.2 Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wrexham to win✓
41%
2.43
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Wrexham (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Swansea +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Wrexham to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wrexham / FT Wrexham✓
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Wrexham – last 5
LWWDW
10 Mar
vs Hull City
1–2
L
24 Feb
vs Portsmouth
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Ipswich
5–3
W
17 Feb
@ Bristol City
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Ipswich
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Swansea – last 3
WDW
10 Mar
@ Portsmouth
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Preston
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Bristol City
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wrexham and Swansea.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Wrexham vs Swansea?
On our numbers Wrexham have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Swansea 32%.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Swansea?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Swansea?
Our predicted score is Wrexham 1–1 Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Wrexham vs Swansea?
Wrexham vs Swansea (Championship) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at SToK Cae Ras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
