Value bet: Stoke City to win @ 2.76 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStoke City to win ✗43% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Preston vs Stoke City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 March the Championship brings Preston against Stoke City at Deepdale. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Preston are 24th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 15 matches; Stoke City are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Preston, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Coventry, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Stoke City, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Ipswich, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Stoke City, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Preston.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Preston 1.1 xG, Stoke City 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Preston 31%, draw 25%, Stoke City 43%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Stoke City to win @2.76 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Preston 1–1 Stoke City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Preston31%fair 3.19 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.25
Stoke City43%fair 2.31 · @2.76
2.56Expected goals
1.07Preston xG
1.49Stoke City xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Preston 1.1 – 1.5 Stoke City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✗
43%
2.31
2.76 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Draw no bet
Stoke City (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Preston +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Stoke City to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Preston – last 4
LLDL
11 Mar
@ Coventry
0–3
L
6 Mar
vs Oxford United
1–3
L
24 Feb
@ Swansea
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Blackburn
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stoke City – last 4
DWDL
10 Mar
vs Ipswich
3–3
D
25 Feb
vs Oxford United
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Leicester
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Fulham
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Preston and Stoke City.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Preston vs Stoke City?
On our numbers Preston have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Stoke City 43%.
How many goals will there be in Preston vs Stoke City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Preston vs Stoke City?
Our predicted score is Preston 1–1 Stoke City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Preston vs Stoke City?
Preston vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Deepdale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
