Value bet: Southampton to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSouthampton to win ✓42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Wrexham vs Southampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Tuesday 7 April: Wrexham v Southampton in the Championship, played at SToK Cae Ras. In the table, Wrexham are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Southampton are 7th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Wrexham, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with West Brom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Southampton, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Norwich, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Southampton, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.7 for Wrexham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wrexham 1.2 xG, Southampton 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wrexham 32%, draw 26%, Southampton 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Southampton to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wrexham 1–1 Southampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wrexham32%fair 3.09 · @2.58
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.45
Southampton42%fair 2.38 · @2.55
2.65Expected goals
1.17Wrexham xG
1.48Southampton xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Wrexham 1.2 – 1.5 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southampton to win✓
42%
2.38
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Southampton (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Wrexham +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Southampton to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southampton / FT Southampton✓
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Wrexham – last 6
DLWLWW
3 Apr
@ West Brom
2–2
D
17 Mar
@ Watford
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Swansea
2–0
W
10 Mar
vs Hull City
1–2
L
24 Feb
vs Portsmouth
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Ipswich
5–3
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Southampton – last 5
WDWWD
18 Mar
vs Norwich
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ West Brom
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Fulham
1–0
W
24 Feb
vs QPR
5–0
W
21 Feb
vs Charlton
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wrexham and Southampton.
What is the prediction for Wrexham vs Southampton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Wrexham vs Southampton?
On our numbers Wrexham have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Southampton 42%.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Southampton?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Southampton?
Our predicted score is Wrexham 1–1 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Wrexham vs Southampton?
Wrexham vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at SToK Cae Ras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
