Value bet: West Brom to win @ 2.26 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWest Brom to win ✗48% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
West Brom vs Millwall: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Millwall travel to face West Brom on Friday 10 April in the Championship, with The Hawthorns the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, West Brom are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 15 matches; Millwall are 16th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
West Brom, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Blackburn, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Millwall, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Norwich, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Millwall, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for West Brom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give West Brom 1.6 xG, Millwall 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – West Brom 48%, draw 25%, Millwall 28%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: West Brom to win @2.26 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: West Brom 1–0 Millwall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
West Brom48%fair 2.10 · @2.26
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.30
Millwall28%fair 3.61 · @3.10
2.59Expected goals
1.60West Brom xG
0.99Millwall xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: West Brom 1.6 – 1.0 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
West Brom to win✗
48%
2.10
2.26 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Draw no bet
West Brom (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Millwall +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
West Brom to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT West Brom / FT West Brom✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
West Brom – last 5
DDDDL
6 Apr
@ Blackburn
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Wrexham
2–2
D
11 Mar
vs Southampton
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Charlton
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Coventry
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Millwall – last 6
LWWWWL
6 Apr
vs Norwich
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Middlesbrough
2–1
W
10 Mar
vs Derby
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Hull City
3–1
W
25 Feb
vs Birmingham
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between West Brom and Millwall.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win West Brom vs Millwall?
On our numbers West Brom have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Millwall 28%.
How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Millwall?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Millwall?
Our predicted score is West Brom 1–0 Millwall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is West Brom vs Millwall?
West Brom vs Millwall (Championship) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
