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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Strasbourg v Lens: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Stade de la Meinau
1–1
FT
Strasbourg 40%Draw 23%Lens 37% Expected goals 1.74 – 1.68
82%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultStrasbourg to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02

Strasbourg vs Lens: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Friday 27 February: Strasbourg v Lens in the Ligue 1, played at Stade de la Meinau. In the table, Strasbourg are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Lens are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Strasbourg 1.7 xG, Lens 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Strasbourg 40%, draw 23%, Lens 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Strasbourg 1–1 Lens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Strasbourg40%fair 2.48 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.50
Lens37%fair 2.71 · @2.86
3.42Expected goals
1.74Strasbourg xG
1.68Lens xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Strasbourg 1.7 – 1.7 Lens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStrasbourg to win ✗40%2.482.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.531.50
Draw no betStrasbourg (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapLens +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.691.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.20
First team to scoreStrasbourg to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.72–
Half-time / full-timeHT Strasbourg / FT Strasbourg ✗24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.02–

Recent results

Strasbourg – last 1

W
22 Febvs Lyon3–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Lens – last 1

L
21 Febvs Monaco2–3L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Strasbourg and Lens.

Strasbourg vs Lens head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Strasbourg vs Lens?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Strasbourg vs Lens?

On our numbers Strasbourg have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lens 37%.

How many goals will there be in Strasbourg vs Lens?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Lens?

Our predicted score is Strasbourg 1–1 Lens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Strasbourg vs Lens?

Strasbourg vs Lens (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Meinau.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.