Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultStrasbourg to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02
Strasbourg vs Lens: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 27 February: Strasbourg v Lens in the Ligue 1, played at Stade de la Meinau. In the table, Strasbourg are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Lens are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Strasbourg 1.7 xG, Lens 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Strasbourg 40%, draw 23%, Lens 37%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Strasbourg 1–1 Lens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Strasbourg40%fair 2.48 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.50
Lens37%fair 2.71 · @2.86
3.42Expected goals
1.74Strasbourg xG
1.68Lens xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Strasbourg 1.7 – 1.7 Lens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Strasbourg to win✗
40%
2.48
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.53
1.50
Draw no bet
Strasbourg (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Lens +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
First team to score
Strasbourg to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Strasbourg / FT Strasbourg✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.02
–
Recent results
Strasbourg – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Lyon
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lens – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Monaco
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strasbourg and Lens.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Lens?
On our numbers Strasbourg have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lens 37%.
How many goals will there be in Strasbourg vs Lens?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Lens?
Our predicted score is Strasbourg 1–1 Lens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Strasbourg vs Lens?
Strasbourg vs Lens (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Meinau.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.