Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✗86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monaco travel to face Paris Saint Germain on Friday 6 March in the Ligue 1, with Parc des Princes the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Paris Saint Germain are 1st, leading the league, on 23 points after 10 matches; Monaco are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Paris Saint Germain, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Monaco, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Monaco, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Paris Saint Germain, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Monaco. The last 2 head-to-heads: Paris Saint Germain 1 win, Monaco 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paris Saint Germain 2.3 xG, Monaco 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paris Saint Germain 66%, draw 19%, Monaco 14%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Monaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paris Saint Germain66%fair 1.51 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @5.60
Monaco14%fair 7.06 · @7.25
3.39Expected goals
2.32Paris Saint Germain xG
1.07Monaco xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.3 – 1.1 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Monaco 14%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
