Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBistrica to win61% · @1.30
Double chanceBistrica or draw84% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.08
Bistrica vs Jesenice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jesenice travel to face Bistrica on Friday 27 March in the 2. SNL – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Bistrica are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Jesenice are 8th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Jesenice, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Dekani, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bistrica 1.9 xG, Jesenice 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bistrica 61%, draw 22%, Jesenice 16%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bistrica 1–1 Jesenice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bistrica61%fair 1.63 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.60
Jesenice16%fair 6.09 · @8.60
3.00Expected goals
1.94Bistrica xG
1.07Jesenice xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bistrica 1.9 – 1.1 Jesenice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bistrica to win
61%
1.63
1.30
Double chance
Bistrica or draw
84%
1.20
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Bistrica (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Jesenice +1.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Bistrica to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Bistrica ahead at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bistrica / FT Bistrica
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Bistrica
No recent results on record.
Jesenice – last 3
LLW
15 Mar
@ Dekani
0–3
L
6 Mar
@ Ilirija
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Krško
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bistrica and Jesenice.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Bistrica vs Jesenice?
On our numbers Bistrica have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jesenice 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bistrica vs Jesenice?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bistrica vs Jesenice?
Our predicted score is Bistrica 1–1 Jesenice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bistrica vs Jesenice?
Bistrica vs Jesenice (2. SNL) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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