Value bet: Gorica to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGorica to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Krka vs Gorica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Krka v Gorica in the 2. SNL, played at Portoval.
Current form
Krka, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dravinja, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gorica, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Brinje-Grosuplje, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Krka, collecting 0.5 points per game to 0.0 for Gorica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Krka 1.1 xG, Gorica 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Krka 34%, draw 23%, Gorica 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Gorica to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krka 1–1 Gorica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Krka34%fair 2.92 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Gorica43%fair 2.32 · @2.55
2.47Expected goals
1.15Krka xG
1.33Gorica xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Krka 1.1 – 1.3 Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gorica to win✓
43%
2.32
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Gorica (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Krka +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Gorica to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gorica / FT Gorica✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Krka – last 6
LLDLDD
30 Apr
@ Dravinja
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Ilirija
1–4
L
17 Apr
vs Rudar
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Triglav
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Beltinci
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gorica – last 3
LLL
10 Apr
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Beltinci
2–3
L
29 Mar
@ Bilje
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Krka and Gorica.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Krka vs Gorica?
On our numbers Krka have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gorica 43%.
How many goals will there be in Krka vs Gorica?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krka vs Gorica?
Our predicted score is Krka 1–1 Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Krka vs Gorica?
Krka vs Gorica (2. SNL) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Portoval.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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