Value bet: Gorica to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGorica to win ✗46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Krško vs Gorica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Krško welcome Gorica to Stadion Matije Gubca for a 2. SNL fixture on Saturday 23 May (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Krško, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Rudar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Gorica, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Krka, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Krško 1.2 xG, Gorica 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Krško 33%, draw 21%, Gorica 46%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Gorica to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krško 1–1 Gorica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Krško33%fair 3.03 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Gorica46%fair 2.19 · @2.50
2.75Expected goals
1.23Krško xG
1.51Gorica xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Krško 1.2 – 1.5 Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gorica to win✗
46%
2.19
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.60
Draw no bet
Gorica (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Krško +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Gorica to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gorica / FT Gorica✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Krško – last 6
LDLDDL
7 May
@ Rudar
0–3
L
30 Apr
vs Slovan Ljubljana
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ Triglav
0–4
L
10 Apr
@ Beltinci
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Dekani
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jesenice
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gorica – last 4
WLLL
6 May
@ Krka
4–1
W
10 Apr
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Beltinci
2–3
L
29 Mar
@ Bilje
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Krško and Gorica.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Krško vs Gorica?
On our numbers Krško have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gorica 46%.
How many goals will there be in Krško vs Gorica?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krško vs Gorica?
Our predicted score is Krško 1–1 Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Krško vs Gorica?
Krško vs Gorica (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Matije Gubca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
