Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Triglav to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNafta to win ✗41% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.55
Nafta vs Triglav: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 22 May the 2. SNL brings Nafta against Triglav at Lendava Sports Park. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Nafta, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brinje-Grosuplje, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Triglav, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dekani, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Triglav, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Nafta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nafta 1.4 xG, Triglav 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nafta 41%, draw 25%, Triglav 33%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Triglav to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nafta 1–1 Triglav. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nafta41%fair 2.41 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.60
Triglav33%fair 3.00 · @3.20
2.91Expected goals
1.38Nafta xG
1.52Triglav xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Nafta 1.4 – 1.5 Triglav expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nafta to win✗
41%
2.41
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Draw no bet
Nafta (draw no bet)
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Nafta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Triglav to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triglav / FT Triglav✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.55
–
Recent results
Nafta – last 6
LWWWWL
17 May
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
1–2
L
6 May
@ Bilje
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Ilirija
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Tabor Sežana
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Dravinja
2–1
W
12 Mar
@ Bravo
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Triglav – last 6
WWWWWW
6 May
vs Dekani
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Jesenice
3–0
W
24 Apr
vs Krško
4–0
W
3 Apr
@ Krka
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Rudar
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Slovan Ljubljana
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nafta and Triglav.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Nafta vs Triglav?
On our numbers Nafta have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Triglav 33%.
How many goals will there be in Nafta vs Triglav?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nafta vs Triglav?
Our predicted score is Nafta 1–1 Triglav, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nafta vs Triglav?
Nafta vs Triglav (2. SNL) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lendava Sports Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Brinje-Grosuplje1