FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: FC St. Pauli v Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga, played at Millerntor-Stadion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC St. Pauli 1.3 xG, Werder Bremen 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC St. Pauli 35%, draw 26%, Werder Bremen 39%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC St. Pauli 1–1 Werder Bremen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC St. Pauli35%fair 2.89 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.05
Werder Bremen39%fair 2.56 · @2.70
2.76Expected goals
1.27FC St. Pauli xG
1.48Werder Bremen xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: FC St. Pauli 1.3 – 1.5 Werder Bremen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Werder Bremen to win✗
39%
2.56
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
Werder Bremen (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
FC St. Pauli +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.06
First team to score
Werder Bremen to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Werder Bremen / FT Werder Bremen✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
FC St. Pauli
No recent results on record.
Werder Bremen
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC St. Pauli and Werder Bremen.
What is the prediction for FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen?
On our numbers FC St. Pauli have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Werder Bremen 39%.
How many goals will there be in FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen?
Our predicted score is FC St. Pauli 1–1 Werder Bremen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen?
FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Millerntor-Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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