Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultRB Leipzig to win ✓50% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.49
Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
RB Leipzig travel to face Hamburger SV on Sunday 1 March in the Bundesliga, with Volksparkstadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Hamburger SV are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 9 matches; RB Leipzig are 4th (among the top four) with 18.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamburger SV 1.3 xG, RB Leipzig 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamburger SV 27%, draw 23%, RB Leipzig 50%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamburger SV 1–1 RB Leipzig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamburger SV27%fair 3.70 · @3.55
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.65
RB Leipzig50%fair 1.98 · @1.96
3.24Expected goals
1.32Hamburger SV xG
1.92RB Leipzig xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hamburger SV 1.3 – 1.9 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Leipzig to win✓
50%
1.98
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Draw no bet
RB Leipzig (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Hamburger SV +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
RB Leipzig to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
RB Leipzig ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Hamburger SV – last 1
D
20 Feb
@ FSV Mainz 05
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
RB Leipzig – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamburger SV and RB Leipzig.
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
On our numbers Hamburger SV have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 50%.
How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Hamburger SV 1–1 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Volksparkstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
VfL Wolfsburg0