Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBorussia Mönchengladbach to win ✓50% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC St. Pauli travel to face Borussia Mönchengladbach on Friday 13 March in the Bundesliga, with Borussia-Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.7 xG, FC St. Pauli 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Borussia Mönchengladbach 50%, draw 24%, FC St. Pauli 26%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FC St. Pauli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Borussia Mönchengladbach50%fair 2.00 · @1.96
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.20
FC St. Pauli26%fair 3.90 · @4.00
2.85Expected goals
1.74Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
1.12FC St. Pauli xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.7 – 1.1 FC St. Pauli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win✓
50%
2.00
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Borussia Mönchengladbach (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
FC St. Pauli +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.06
First team to score
Borussia Mönchengladbach to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Mönchengladbach / FT Borussia Mönchengladbach✓
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Borussia Mönchengladbach – last 2
LL
6 Mar
@ Bayern München
1–4
L
22 Feb
@ SC Freiburg
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC St. Pauli – last 2
DW
8 Mar
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Werder Bremen
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and FC St. Pauli.
What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli?
On our numbers Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC St. Pauli 26%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli?
Our predicted score is Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FC St. Pauli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Borussia-Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
