Value bet: Hertha BSC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHertha BSC to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SC Paderborn 07 welcome Hertha BSC to Home Deluxe Arena for a 2. Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 22 February (13:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Paderborn 07 1.2 xG, Hertha BSC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Paderborn 07 37%, draw 25%, Hertha BSC 38%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Hertha BSC to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Hertha BSC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Paderborn 0737%fair 2.74 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.50
Hertha BSC38%fair 2.61 · @3.10
2.64Expected goals
1.22SC Paderborn 07 xG
1.43Hertha BSC xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: SC Paderborn 07 1.2 – 1.4 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hertha BSC to win✗
38%
2.61
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.55
Draw no bet
Hertha BSC (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
SC Paderborn 07 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.17
First team to score
Hertha BSC to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hertha BSC / FT Hertha BSC✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
SC Paderborn 07 – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ VfL Bochum
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Hertha BSC – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Hannover 96
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Paderborn 07 and Hertha BSC.
What is the prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC?
On our numbers SC Paderborn 07 have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hertha BSC 38%.
How many goals will there be in SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC?
Our predicted score is SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC?
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Home Deluxe Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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